One of the goals of the Texas Agricultural
Extension Service (TAEX) is to increase the value of agricultural
products being marketed by Texas producers. With the assistance
of the South Texas Auction Company, Kleberg-Kenedy County Beef
Cattle Improvement Association and the Jim Wells County Beef Improvement
Association, an educational beef cattle marketing activity focusing
on commercial females was developed. This special marketing activity
was patterned after the successful South Texas Stocker-Feeder
Calf Sale, an event sponsored by the same groups. For 7 years
data has been collected and analyzed on the animals being marketed
through the South Texas Stocker-Feeder Sale. This data has provided
South Texas cow-calf producers information on profitable calf
marketing and management practices.
An objective of the commercial female sale was to collect and
analyze data that would assist South Texas beef producers in developing
profitable management and marketing strategies for the "higher
end" of the female portion of their calf crops. When analyzing
this data, producers should keep in mind that this is one year's
information, and such a limited data set may not justify major
changes management practices. It should also be noted that management
factors, and animal quality and kind may have impacted the prices
paid and received in some classes. The results of the 1st South
Texas Commercial Female Sale and analyses are presented in the
following sections.
Pairs vs. Bred Heifers
Surprisingly the price spread between
pairs and bred heifers was extremely slight and in some cases
bred heifers generated more revenue than did pairs. Nineteen pairs
that were approximately three years of age were consigned to the
sale, with an average gross sale price of $772.89 per pair. Twenty-six
bred heifers, 18 to 20 months of age, were sold at an average
price of $714.42 per head. Given these results, a producer must
question if the expense and risk involved in maintaining a female
another 16 to 18 months and successfully delivering a calf can
be justified for additional average revenues of $58.47 per head.
Survey results generated by the TAEX Farm and Ranch Management
Group using the National Cattlemen's Beef Association's Standardized
Performance Analysis (SPA) for Texas herds for the period covering
the years from 1995 to 1997 shows that the average cost of maintaining
a cow is $307 per year. These results indicate that on average,
the cost of maintaining a female for the additional time period
would not be offset by the revenue generated.
Budgets compiled by the TAEX project that the average cost a producer
incurs developing a young pair is $468 from the time the
mother cow was a weaned heifer, as compared to $160 to develop
a bred heifer from the time she was weaned. To estimate the relative
costs of pairs and bred heifers, assumptions need to be made as
to the value of the animals at weaning. Using the historical results
from the South Texas Stocker-Feeder Calf Sale as a base, the mother
cows for the pairs weaned in the fall of 1995 had an average market
value of only $224 per head (Average of 431 pounds valued at $52
per cwt). This would project a market valuation at weaning plus
development cost of $692 for the pairs, and a subsequent margin
of $80 per head when compared with selling the heifer at weaning
in 1995. Assuming that the bred heifers were weaned in the spring
of 1997, it is estimated that their value at weaning would be
approximately $338 per head (Estimated at 450 pounds per head
valued at $75 per cwt). This would project a market valuation
at weaning plus development cost of $498 for the bred heifers,
and a subsequent margin of $216 per head when compared with selling
the heifer at weaning in 1997.
The sale results also provide an opportunity to examine how bid
prices for females in the sale relate to bid prices generated
by a capital budgeting model developed by TAEX to analyze and
develop maximum feasible financial and economic bid prices for
breeding cattle. As seen in Table 3,
a consensus price forecast for a six year period is used to develop
gross revenue inflows for the breeding pairs. Calf weaning weights,
cull cow weights, tax information and financing consideration
are also outlined. Maintenance costs for cows excluding depreciation
begin at $260 per year and are inflated at an annual rate of 3%.
Financing considerations include a 20 percent down payment, a
10% interest rate and a five year loan term. To account for the
time value of money, risk and anticipated inflation the projected
cash flows are discounted at a pre-tax rate of 10%. The data presented
in Table 4 for the bred heifers are
adjusted for the lag in gross receipts relative to the pairs.
Otherwise the data is identical to that used in the economic analysis
of the bred heifers is identical to that of the pairs.
Given the assumptions discussed above, and the calculations shown
in Table 3, it appears that the pairs were priced at a reasonable
level. Under these assumptions, the pairs would have a payback
period of six years, and the positive calculated net present value
indicates that the investment is economically feasible at a pre-tax
discount rate of 10%. However, the negative cash flow seen in
years 1 and 2 may make the investment financially infeasible,
as the investment would need to be subsidized with cash from other
sources.
The results for the bred heifers shown in Table 4 indicates that
given the consensus price forecast and cost structure used in
the model, along with the loan structure described above, the
average bid price of $714 leads to a investment that is not economically
feasible at the 10 percent discount rate. The investment in the
bred heifers does have a positive internal rate of return of 5.6%,
along with a seven year payback period. This indicates that the
investment would be economically feasible at a discount rate smaller
than 5.6%. This investment also has a large negative cash flow
generated in year 1, indicating that the investment may not be
financially feasible given the costs and returns outlined above.
The information presented in the previous three paragraphs is
intended only to illustrate tools developed by TAEX to support
formulation of economic and financially feasible bid prices for
commercial beef cows. Resulting bid prices are heavily dependent
upon the cost structure of the individual bidder, and will vary
from the examples shown above. However, sale management believes
that it is very important for producers to carefully examine their
own situation on a case by case basis, given the importance of
the decision to purchase replacement females. If you would like
a copy of the software used to develop Tables 3 and 4, please
contact your local county Extension Agent.
Pairs and Bred Heifers vs. Bred Cows
It is hard to draw any conclusions
when making comparisons between pairs and bred cows and bred heifers
and bred cows. A small number of bred cows (10) were marketed
with ages ranging from 4 to 7 years. There were some major differences
in kinds and types and these differences will be discussed in
the breed influence summary. Bred cows averaged $603 per head,
selling for $169.89 per head less than pairs and $111.42 less
than a bred heifer.
Bred Heifers vs. Exposed
Heifers vs. Open Heifers
Heifers marketed as exposed had
been running with bulls for a minimum of 45 days. In some cases
heifers had been exposed 60 days. All heifers marketed as exposed
were palpated and diagnosed as open. Forty-seven head of exposed
heifers averaged $554.68, or $159.74 less per head than the bred
heifers of approximately the same age. Using this data, a producer
might conclude that buyers penalize slow breeders by roughly $3.55
per head per day over a 45 day breeding season.
Fifty-one open heifers, 9 to 14 months of age sold for an average
of $400.89, or $153.80 less than an exposed heifer. However, it
should be noted that type may have played a role in the price
a producer received for an open heifer. There was a $150 range
between the top selling open females selling at $500 per head,
and the low selling open females selling $350 per head. Based
on the projected TAEX cost estimate of $160 per head to move a
heifer from a weaned to bred condition, the projected total cost
for developing these open heifers would range from $510 to $660
per head. This would indicate that on average, buyers still preferred
bred heifers which average $714 per head.
Breed Influence
Twelve breeds and various breed
combinations were marketed in this special event. As in special
consignment female sales across the state, Tiger-stripe F1 females
proved to be popular with buyers. Tiger-stripes sold for $87 per
pair over other breeds of females in the pair division. Cow-calf
operators realize that females with Bos indicus influence, 3/8
to 5/8, are a necessity in the South Texas environment. Demand
for Santa Gertrudis cross and Beefmaster cross females was strong
as would be expected. Although Brangus and Brangus type cattle
fall into this category, black cows are discriminated against
by some South Texas producers. The price received for heavy bred
Brangus type females was comparable to the price received for
exposed heifers. In past South Texas Stocker-Feeder Calf Sales,
animals surpassing 5/8 Brahman influence have been penalized by
buyers. However, in this commercial female event, full blood Brahman
received a premium. In the exposed and open heifer division, full
blood Brahmans commanded as much as $70 per head more than the
nearest breeds.
It is the feeling of sale management that regardless of outlook,
cow inventory, and calf price, there always seems to be a steady
demand for F1 females, especially Tiger- stripes. A desire to
service this market has created a need for Brahman females. Cattle
that showed little or no Brahman influence were penalized by buyers.
This was especially true in the open heifer division.
Management Practices
Although it is difficult to determine
if consignors received a premium for females that were designated
Official Calfhood Vaccinates, several buyers stated that they
were only interested in females that had received a Brucellosis
vaccination. Several expressed interest in females that had received
Leptospirosis and Vibriosis vaccinations. Sale management feels
that completing these management practices enhances a replacement
female sale and may provide long term benefits to the sale, enabling
it to gain a reputation for the marketing of healthy, reproductively
sound females.
Table 1. Results by class.
| Class | Head | Total Value | Average Value |
| Bred Cows | 10 | $6,030.00 | $603.00 |
| Bred Heifers | 26 | $18,575.00 | $714.42 |
| Exposed Heifer | 47 | $26,070.00 | $554.68 |
| Open Heifer | 51 | $20,445.00 | $400.88 |
| Pairs | 19 | $14,685.00 | $772.89 |
| Total | 153 | $85,805.00 | $560.82 |
|
Breed |
Bred Cows | Bred Heifers | Exposed Heifer | Open Heifer | Pairs | ||||||||||
| Head | Total | Average | Head | Total | Average | Head | Total | Average | Head | Total | Average | Head | Total | Average | |
| Beefmaster | 5 | $3,475 | $695 | 1 | $410 | $410 | |||||||||
| Beefmaster X | 8 | $6,400 | $800 | 6 | $3,510 | $585 | |||||||||
| Brahman | 9 | $5,900 | $656 | 1 | $500 | $500 | |||||||||
| Brahman X | 1 | $525 | $525 | 5 | $1,875 | $375 | 5 | $4,185 | $837 | ||||||
| Brangus X | 2 | $950 | $475 | ||||||||||||
| Charolais X | 2 | $1,070 | $535 | 1 | $600 | $600 | 13 | $4,900 | $377 | ||||||
| F1 | 16 | $8,700 | $544 | ||||||||||||
| Gert X | 1 | $500 | $500 | ||||||||||||
| GertXHereford | 1 | $535 | $535 | 10 | $7,450 | $745 | 4 | $2,200 | $550 | ||||||
| GertXSimmental | 4 | $2,600 | $650 | 5 | $2,425 | $485 | 20 | $8,450 | $423 | 14 | $10,500 | $750 | |||
| Hereford X | 5 | $2,000 | $400 | ||||||||||||
| HerefordXSimmental | 7 | $3,335 | $476 | ||||||||||||
| Limousin X | 6 | $2,310 | $385 | ||||||||||||
| Red Baldy | 1 | $500 | $500 | ||||||||||||